Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 12.016777 13.764564 15.692915 17.980824 20.624673 23.587849 27.166349
2025-10-05 9.908793 12.237916 15.018174 18.591437 23.076702 28.539384 35.726169
2025-10-12 8.632799 11.250652 14.556812 19.058537 25.059688 32.827660 43.715342
2025-10-19 7.809796 10.636528 14.375858 19.716533 27.201623 37.397219 52.470876
2025-10-26 6.796196 9.604892 13.468187 19.213535 27.615980 39.570719 58.074830
2025-11-02 6.058436 8.849279 12.824156 18.953818 28.268892 42.055021 64.303224
2025-11-09 5.463221 8.221898 12.277255 18.741301 28.915492 44.528449 70.714395
2025-11-16 4.951100 7.657881 11.754142 18.485308 29.429290 46.797285 76.991218
2025-11-23 4.486976 7.117175 11.205593 18.116041 29.695278 48.655895 82.744631
2025-11-30 4.327770 7.039555 11.369198 18.897382 31.900136 53.875515 94.752843
2025-12-07 4.086695 6.802996 11.248128 19.181817 33.275542 57.805051 104.906619
2025-12-14 3.816078 6.490702 10.969357 19.160539 34.099996 60.829576 113.717494
2025-12-21 3.530844 6.132769 10.588431 18.934627 34.555138 63.272878 121.800964
2025-12-28 3.412055 6.055254 10.687003 19.579266 36.671843 68.992804 136.922160
2026-01-04 3.279773 5.940511 10.706144 20.072686 38.542017 74.421228 152.093703
2026-01-11 3.185633 5.886320 10.828285 20.767825 40.865414 80.961479 170.345087
2026-01-18 2.938391 5.524198 10.344752 20.236426 40.680027 82.427188 177.915493
2026-01-25 2.745863 5.250868 10.007136 19.962062 40.987226 84.925429 188.030392
2026-02-01 2.576043 5.008020 9.708413 19.737569 41.371553 87.613565 198.878676
2026-02-08 2.415477 4.770832 9.401589 19.467160 41.627083 90.039081 209.394860
2026-02-15 2.255620 4.522780 9.053329 19.077120 41.580077 91.782199 218.482621
2026-02-22 2.229166 4.545888 9.260827 19.902445 44.323599 100.109118 244.682964
2026-03-01 2.153012 4.459114 9.231793 20.202919 45.895905 105.883629 265.214656